Prediction: the reading will increase.
Think about what each of the three possible answers would mean:
| If the reading… | …it would mean |
|---|---|
| decreases | Water is leaking out of the tumbler and dripping away, or water is escaping as vapour |
| stays the same | The water outside simply came from inside — nothing gained, nothing lost |
| increases | Water has been added from outside — from the air |
Because the tumbler is covered with a steel plate, no vapour can escape from inside; and because condensation keeps depositing water from the air on the cold outer wall, the total mass on the pan goes up — slowly at first and then steadily, for as long as the tumbler stays cold.