Method. Do not invent freely. Start from a trend the chapter actually describes and carry it forward about fifty years. Give your essay three parts: what will have changed, why it will have changed, and what you hope stays the same.
What a good essay needs:
- At least three specific developments, each traced back to something in this chapter — hydroponics, drones, drip irrigation, organic farming, climate change, shrinking landholdings, the Green Revolution's after-effects.
- Honesty about the problems as well as the improvements. A future with no problems is not a prediction, it is a wish.
- Your own reasoning: “this will happen because…”
- A closing view of what you personally hope for.
Sample answer: “Farming when I am sixty”
When I am sixty, the year will be about 2080, and I think Indian farming will look different in five ways.
First, water will be the centre of everything. Today the chapter already warns that “groundwater reserves are fast decreasing” and that parts of the Ganga are no longer navigable in summer. By 2080 I think almost no farmer will flood a field. Drip and sprinkler systems will be ordinary, farm ponds will be everywhere, and the water each farm uses will probably be measured, the way electricity is measured now.
Second, farms will be smarter than they are large. The average landholding is already only about three-fourths of a hectare and keeps shrinking. So the machines will shrink to fit — the chapter notes that “of late machines have been designed and invented for small farms too”. I imagine small robots weeding between rows, and drones like the one in Fig. 1.12 checking soil moisture field by field, sending an alert to a phone.
Third, some food will grow without soil at all. Hydroponics is already used “for urban farming and areas with poor soil quality”. In fifty years I expect vegetables to be grown in tall buildings inside cities, close to the people who eat them, so that less food is lost in transport.
Fourth, chemicals will be far less common. Sikkim became the world's first fully organic state in 2014, and ICAR has found over 85 per cent of traditional practices scientifically valid. I think neem-based pesticides, compost, panchagavya and beejamrit will be the normal choice by then, not the unusual one — not out of nostalgia, but because the soil will not survive another fifty years of the alternative.
Fifth, the weather will be harder. This is the part I am least happy about. The chapter says the risk of crop destruction “is likely to get worse as our planet gets rapidly warmer”. So I expect stronger crop insurance, better forecasts, and seeds bred to survive drought and flood — and I expect farmers to grow several crops together, as their ancestors did at Kalibangan in 2800 BCE, because “diversity builds resilience”.
What I hope stays the same. I hope farming is still a respected life, and that the woman who does most of the work is finally called a farmer. I hope villages still keep their own seed. And I hope a child in 2080 can still stand at the edge of a field in November and watch the wheat being sown, exactly as children have done here for four thousand years.
For the drawing: divide the paper in two. On the left, one panel from the past — oxen and a wooden plough, as in Fig. 1.1. On the right, the same field in 2080 — drip lines along each row, a small solar pump, a drone overhead, a rooftop hydroponic frame in the town behind, and the same farmer walking the same bund. Label both panels. The point of the picture is the continuity, not the gadgets.